Mike's Hard Takes

Hotter Takes Than Your Group Chat

recent posts

about

  • NFL 2025 Playoff Predictions: Full Bracket Breakdown

    After grinding through every single one of the 272 regular season games and mapping out how each division would shake out, it’s time to talk postseason football. These aren’t just predictions — they’re the culmination of every roster move, coaching change, and injury risk I’ve weighed going into 2025.

    We’ll start with the Wild Card Round and work our way to Super Bowl LX.

    AFC Playoffs

    (2) Chiefs vs (7) Broncos — Chiefs win

    This AFC West trilogy will be a slugfest. Denver’s defense is nasty, and Bo Nix will be smart with the football. But come January, betting against Patrick Mahomes at Arrowhead is a bad life choice. The Chiefs’ improved OL and healthy skill players will allow them to attack Denver’s defense more effectively than in the regular season. Andy Reid will have the perfect counter to Vance Joseph’s blitz packages, and this one ends with Mahomes leading a game winning drive late in the fourth to edge out Denver.

    (3) Bills vs (6) Chargers — Bills win

    Jim Harbaugh will have the Chargers ready for a street fight, but this is a matchup where Josh Allen’s playoff switch gets flipped. The Bills’ pass rush will be key — forcing Justin Herbert into quicker throws and disrupting the deep shots that LA’s offense thrives on. Allen’s legs will be the difference. Expect a couple of “how did he do that?” moments in the second half, as the Bills pull away for a comfortable victory.

    (4) Ravens vs (5) Bengals — Bengals win

    These two teams know each other too well, and that familiarity benefits the quarterbacks. The Bengals’ defense is far from perfect, but against a Ravens offense leaning heavily on a 31-year-old Derrick Henry, they can stack the box and force Lamar Jackson into contested throws with a bad receiving core. Burrow’s playoff calm will shine here, and Ja’Marr Chase will find the soft spots in Baltimore’s secondary for at least one huge play.

    NFC Playoffs

    (2) Buccaneers vs (7) Commanders — Buccaneers win

    Jayden Daniels will put on a show, but the Bucs’ pass rush will get to him just enough to force mistakes. Baker Mayfield has the veteran advantage here, and his chemistry with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin will be too much for Washington’s secondary over four quarters. Expect this one to be close until a late Tampa touchdown seals it to avenge last year’s playoff loss.

    (3) Eagles vs (6) Lions — Eagles win

    Two physical teams, but Philadelphia’s trenches are the difference. The Lions’ OL, without Frank Ragnow, will struggle to contain Jalen Carter and the Eagles’ front. Saquon Barkley might not repeat his 2024 numbers, but he won’t have to — Jalen Hurts will make enough plays with his arm and legs to control the game. Detroit’s coaching turnover shows here with a few costly miscues.

    (4) Vikings vs (5) Cardinals — Cardinals win

    Kyler Murray steps into the national spotlight in this one. Minnesota’s defense will make him work early, but Trey McBride and the improved WR group will eventually break through. The Vikings’ rookie QB J.J. McCarthy plays well, but Brian Flores’ defense can only do so much against a dual-threat like Murray who can extend drives on third down. This will be a Kyler has arrived type of performance.

    Divisional Round

    AFC: (1) Texans vs (5) Bengals — Texans win

    Houston’s defense is built for January football. Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter coming off the edge will limit Burrow’s time to throw, and Derek Stingley Jr. will get his shot at taking away Ja’Marr Chase on key downs. CJ Stroud won’t need to throw for 350+ — just make the right reads against a Bengals defense still patching holes. Home crowd plus defensive dominance sends the Texans to their first AFC Championship Game.

    AFC: (3) Bills vs (2) Chiefs — Bills win

    This is the matchup Bills fans have been waiting for — the playoff win over Kansas City. Buffalo’s secondary is healthier this year, and Sean McDermott will mix coverages to frustrate Mahomes. More importantly, the Bills’ run game will keep KC’s defense honest, giving Allen a chance to pick his spots downfield. Expect a back-and-forth duel, but a late Josh Allen touchdown drive finally gets the KC monkey off Buffalo’s back in a shootout victory.

    NFC: (1) Rams vs (5) Cardinals — Rams win

    Divisional rivals meet again, but this is where the Rams’ defensive line overwhelms Arizona’s front. The Rams’ dominant DL gets after Kyler Murray, forcing him into quicker reads. Matthew Stafford will carve up the Cardinals’ defense with Puka Nacua and Davante Adams winning one-on-ones all day. Arizona’s run ends here, but the foundation for a big 2026 season is set.

    NFC: (2) Buccaneers vs (3) Eagles — Buccaneers win

    This is the upset of the NFC bracket. The Bucs’ pass rush, led by Vita Vea and Haason Reddick , will make life miserable for Hurts in the pocket. Baker Mayfield, meanwhile, thrives in these types of underdog games, hitting chunk plays against an Eagles secondary that, while talented, is extremely young. The Bucs control the clock with Bucky Irving and close the game out with a long fourth-quarter drive.

    Conference Championships

    AFC: (3) Bills vs (1) Texans — Bills win

    The Texans’ defense will land some early blows, but Josh Allen has been here before — and he won’t flinch. The difference? Buffalo’s improved offensive line will give Allen just enough time to attack Houston’s linebackers in coverage. CJ Stroud will make plays, but the Bills’ playoff experience wins out in a hostile road environment. Allen delivers a career-defining performance to send Buffalo to the Super Bowl.

    NFC: (1) Rams vs (2) Buccaneers — Rams win

    Two teams built to play in the trenches, but the Rams’ offensive creativity wins the day. Stafford has too many answers for Todd Bowles’ blitz-heavy approach, and Sean McVay will scheme up ways to neutralize Tampa’s pass rush. On the other side, the Rams’ DL will make Baker Mayfield uncomfortable enough to force a turnover or two, giving LA the cushion they need.

    Super Bowl LIX — Rams vs Bills

    Prediction: Rams 49, Bills 48

    This is a battle of two veteran QBs with elite rosters behind them. The Bills have the big-play potential to win it all, but the Rams’ balanced attack and defensive front will control the tempo. Stafford, with one more Lombardi in sight, plays mistake-free football while Puka Nacua and Davante Adams shred Buffalo’s secondary on key third downs. Jared Verse and Co. lead this Rams defense to close out the biggest game of the year with a fourth-quarter stand.

    The Rams ride off with their second title under Sean McVay, and Stafford cements his Hall of Fame case.

  • Mike’s Weekly 12 Pack: Heading into Week 1

    Mike’s Weekly 12 Pack: Heading into Week 1

    The preseason is underway. The trash talk is already flowing. So it’s time for one of my favorite traditions — the Mike’s 12 Pack.

    These are my top 12 teams heading into the 2025 NFL season based on my full season predictions, which means I’ve already picked every game and run the playoff scenarios. These aren’t just “vibes” rankings — though, let’s be honest, vibes matter — this is a mix of roster talent, coaching, schedule, and what I think each team will look like come January.

    1. Philadelphia Eagles

    Predicted Record: 11-6 | NFC East Champions
    The NFC East hasn’t had a repeat winner in 21 years… until now. The Eagles have talent everywhere, starting with Jalen Hurts and a loaded offense that has Saquon Barkley. Even if Saquon regresses, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert will keep the points flowing. Defensively, they might have two Rookie of the Year candidates in Jihaad Campbell and Andrew Makuba, plus Jalen Carter up front. I see them cruising through stretches of the season — but when the playoffs start, they’ll hit another gear.

    2. Kansas City Chiefs

    Predicted Record: 12-5 | AFC West Champions
    Don’t let “only” 12 wins fool you — the Chiefs are still the AFC’s big boss. The offense should be sharper this year with Josh Simmons solidifying left tackle, Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy stretching the field, and a healthy Isiah Pacheco pounding the rock. Rashee Rice’s return gives Patrick Mahomes another trusted weapon. They’ll take a few odd losses, but they’re still the standard.

    3. Buffalo Bills

    Predicted Record: 11-6 | AFC East Champions
    Call this my “vibe-check” pick. The Bills might not dominate the regular season the way they have in the past, but I see them peaking when it matters. Josh Allen still gives them a weekly advantage, and the roster is deep enough to weather tough stretches. My biggest question is Sean McDermott — if they fall short in the postseason again, change might be coming.

    4. Los Angeles Rams

    Predicted Record: 12-5 | NFC West Champions
    If Matthew Stafford’s back holds up, this is one of the NFC’s scariest teams. The offense is stacked, the defensive line is loaded, and Sean McVay still knows how to get points on the board. Once they get a lead, this pass rush will make comebacks nearly impossible for opponents. They’re my top NFC West team for a reason.

    5. Denver Broncos

    Predicted Record: 10-7 | AFC Wild Card
    Yes, I’m buying the hype — but for the right reasons. This defense could be the best in football with an elite pass rush, and the offense will control games with a quick, efficient passing game. Bo Nix doesn’t have to be a superstar — just smart and steady. I also love the RJ Harvey draft pick for this system.

    6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Predicted Record: 11-6 | NFC South Champions
    Being the Texas Longhorn mega-fan that I am, I hate how much I like Baker Mayfield in 2025. With Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, and Mike Evans, this offense can be dangerous. Todd Bowles’ defense will bring pressure, and Antoine Winfield Jr. coming back healthy is huge for the secondary. They’re the clear class of the NFC South.

    7. Houston Texans

    Predicted Record: 13-4 | AFC South Champions
    My pick for best defense in the league. Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter on the edge, Derek Stingley Jr. locking down receivers — it’s unfair. CJ Stroud should take another leap with Nico Collins, and a fresh offensive coordinator should help the run game. Four losses might be generous for the rest of the AFC South.

    8. Baltimore Ravens

    Predicted Record: 11-6 | AFC North Champions
    The Ravens will be very good — but I have questions. Derrick Henry at 31 isn’t a lock to repeat last year’s success, which could put too much on the passing game. The defense will still be tough, and Lamar Jackson is Lamar Jackson, but I think they’ll take a tiny step back from their absolute peak.

    9. Cincinnati Bengals

    Predicted Record: 11-6 | AFC Wild Card
    The Bengals’ defense can’t possibly be worse than last season, right? Joe Burrow has all the weapons in the world, Ja’Marr Chase is a fantasy cheat code, and I think rookie Shemar Stewart will be a factor up front. If the defense can get to even league average, this is a Super Bowl contender.

    10. Detroit Lions

    Predicted Record: 10-7 | NFC Wild Card
    This is still a good football team, but losing key coaches and center Frank Ragnow will hurt. I expect a slight step back offensively, but a healthier defense should help keep them in games. They’re still a tough out in the NFC, just maybe not quite the same bully they’ve been the past two years.

    11. Washington Commanders

    Predicted Record: 10-7 | NFC Wild Card
    Jayden Daniels is already a star, and with Laremy Tunsil protecting him, this offense can move. The defense will be fast and aggressive, and if Terry McLaurin returns, this could be an even higher ranking by midseason. They might be the NFC’s most dangerous “wild card” in every sense.

    12. Minnesota Vikings

    Predicted Record: 10-7 | NFC North Champions
    Kevin O’Connell and Brian Flores give the Vikings one of the best coach duos in the league. The defense will bring pressure, the offensive line is solid, and JJ McCarthy can ease in with Justin Jefferson making life easier. They’re my pick in a very tight NFC North race.

    Closing Thoughts

    This top 12 is based on how I see these teams entering the season — not necessarily how it will finish. Injuries, surprise breakouts, and the occasional “Mike, you were dead wrong” moment will shuffle this list. But for now, these are the squads I trust the most heading into Week 1.

  • Top 15 Quarterbacks in the NFL – 2025 Edition

    Top 15 Quarterbacks in the NFL – 2025 Edition

    Quarterback is the most important position in sports — and right now, the NFL has never been deeper with elite talent.
    From proven Super Bowl champions to young stars on the rise, here’s my ranking of the top 15 QBs heading into the 2025 season.

    1. Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs

    The gold standard. Mahomes has already built a Hall of Fame résumé, and he’s still in his prime. His ability to make plays when it matters most keeps the Chiefs in every game, no matter the supporting cast.

    2. Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills

    The reigning MVP, Allen is a one-man wrecking crew, capable of dominating through the air or on the ground. His combination of size, arm strength, and mobility makes him a nightmare for defenses.

    3. Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens

    Lamar is a defensive coordinator’s headache. Jackson has become more comfortable in the pocket under Todd Monken, and his dual-threat ability still tilts the field every Sunday.

    4. Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals

    Burrow is as calm and precise as anyone in the league. His chemistry with Ja’Marr Chase and ability to shine in big games make him one of the NFL’s most dangerous quarterbacks. I expect him to compete for the MVP this season

    5. Jayden Daniels – Washington Commanders

    Yes, he’s already in the top five — that’s how quickly Daniels’ stock has risen. His elite speed, poise, and accuracy have Washington dreaming big, and he’s already proven he can handle the spotlight.

    6. Matthew Stafford – Los Angeles Rams

    Even at his age, Stafford’s arm talent remains elite. Pair him with Sean McVay’s creativity, Puka Nacua’s rise, and Kyren Williams’ versatility, and you’ve got a quarterback who can still carve up defenses.

    7. C.J. Stroud – Houston Texans

    The 2023 Offensive Rookie of the Year followed up with another strong season, showing poise beyond his years. Stroud’s decision-making and accuracy have the Texans firmly in the contender mix.

    8. Justin Herbert – Los Angeles Chargers

    Herbert has all the tools — size, arm strength, mobility — and now finally has an offensive system designed to maximize his skills.

    9. Baker Mayfield – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Mayfield’s resurgence in Tampa wasn’t a fluke. He’s playing smart, aggressive football, and his chemistry with Mike Evans remains one of the best QB-WR connections in the league.

    10. Jalen Hurts – Philadelphia Eagles

    His leadership and physicality still make him one of the league’s most dangerous offensive weapons. If Philly wants to repeat, Hurts will climb this list fast.

    11. Jared Goff – Detroit Lions

    Goff has quietly become one of the NFL’s most efficient passers. With a strong offensive line and explosive weapons, he’s been the perfect fit for Dan Campbell’s vision in Detroit.

    12. Jordan Love – Green Bay Packers

    Love’s breakout in 2024 proved Green Bay knew what they were doing. He’s decisive, accurate, and unafraid to push the ball downfield — a perfect leader for the Packers’ young core.

    13. Kyler Murray – Arizona Cardinals

    Fully healthy again, Murray’s speed and quick release make him a nightmare for defenses. If Arizona’s offense stays balanced, Murray can return to his Pro Bowl form.

    14. Geno Smith – Las Vegas Raiders

    Smith’s second act continues to impress. He’s accurate, efficient, and unafraid to take deep shots, making Las Vegas a playoff threat in the AFC.

    15. Bo Nix – Denver Broncos

    It’s early, but Nix has shown flashes of being the long-term answer in Denver. His accuracy and composure under pressure give the Broncos hope for a franchise turnaround.

    Twitter/X: mikeshardtakes_

    Instagram: likemike.99

    TikTok: mikeshardtakes

    YouTube: Mikes Hard Takes

  • Award Predictions

    Award Predictions

    MVP

    1. Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills
      Allen’s blend of arm talent and rushing ability keeps him at the forefront of MVP conversations. With a retooled offensive line and a deeper receiving corps, he’s primed for a 45+ total touchdown season. If the Bills secure the AFC’s #1 seed, Allen’s narrative of finally getting Buffalo back to the Super Bowl stage will be impossible to ignore.
    2. Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs
      Even in what’s considered a “down” year for Mahomes, he’s still a top-three QB in the league. With Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy providing speed and separation, Mahomes could lead the NFL in passing yards while pushing Kansas City towards another championship — an MVP-friendly storyline.
    3. Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals
      Burrow’s precision passing and stacked WR trio could lead to career highs in yards and touchdowns. If Cincinnati’s defense is good enough for the team to make the playoffs, Burrow’s steady excellence puts him squarely in the MVP race.
    4. C.J. Stroud – Houston Texans
      After back to back seasons with a playoff victory, and now with his best team yet, Stroud is poised to contend for the MVP. Houston’s offense could be one of the league’s most explosive, and a jump from playoff contender to AFC title threat makes Stroud a dark-horse MVP.
    5. Baker Mayfield – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
      If Mayfield replicates that success from last season and the Bucs win 11+ games, he could put the numbers up necessary to put himself in the conversation.

    Defensive Player of the Year

    1. Will Anderson – Houston Texans
      Anderson’s first two years hinted at superstardom. In Year 3 under DeMeco Ryans, expect double-digit sacks and game-wrecking performances that anchor Houston’s projected #1 defense and rise into AFC elite territory.
    2. Jared Verse – Los Angeles Rams
      Verse enters the NFL with a rare mix of power and speed. If Verse can finish taking the QB to the ground this season his sack numbers should reflect a dominant season.
    3. Derek Stingley Jr. – Houston Texans
      Stingley’s elite ball skills and lockdown coverage could lead to 5–7 interceptions this season. If the Texans’ defense is as good as I think it will be, he’ll get recognition as the league’s best corner.
    4. Myles Garrett – Cleveland Browns
      The best defensive player in football is still at the peak of his powers. Cleveland’s lack of team success will keep him lower in the race, but Garrett’s consistent dominance keeps him in contention.
    5. Maxx Crosby – Las Vegas Raiders
      Crosby’s relentless motor and improved supporting cast could help him post a career-high sack total, putting him in the DPOY conversation yet again.

    Offensive Player of the Year

    1. A.J. Brown – Philadelphia Eagles
      Brown has been on the cusp of OPOY numbers for years. With 1,600+ yards and 12+ touchdowns within reach, he could finally claim the award.
    2. Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons
      With Zac Robinson designing an offense tailored to his skill set, Bijan could become the NFL’s scrimmage yards leader, producing both highlight runs and massive volume.
    3. Ja’Marr Chase – Cincinnati Bengals
      Chase’s chemistry with Burrow is unmatched, and if the Bengals’ offense returns to top-tier status, he could put up record-breaking numbers.
    4. Brock Bowers – Las Vegas Raiders
      Tight Ends rarely enter award races — but Bowers is awesome. His versatility could make him the focal point of the Raiders’ offense.
    5. Xavier Worthy – Kansas City Chiefs
      Worthy’s blazing speed could unlock the Chiefs’ vertical game. If he continues his progress from last season, along with a more dynamic Chiefs offense, he could be a legitimate sleeper for OPOY.

    Defensive Rookie of the Year

    1. Jihaad Campbell – Philadelphia Eagles
      Campbell’s sideline-to-sideline range and ability to blitz make him an immediate difference-maker. A high tackle count plus being a splash play waiting to happen could win him DROY.
    2. Jahdae Barron – Denver Broncos
      Barron’s versatility to play slot corner or safety fits perfectly with Vance Joseph’s defense. He could fill the stat sheet with picks, sacks, and forced fumbles.
    3. Mike Green – Baltimore Ravens
      Green’s power and disruption on the interior could make him one of the Ravens’ most impactful defensive lineman from day one.
    4. Abdul Carter – New York Giants
      Carter’s athleticism and pass rush skills should translate quickly, especially with a heavy workload. Having to compete for numbers with a loaded defensive line in New York lowers him on the ballot.
    5. Andrew Mukuba – Philadelphia Eagles
      Mukuba’s coverage ability and knack for big hits give him a shot to lead all rookie safeties in turnovers.

    Offensive Rookie of the Year

    1. Cam Ward – Tennessee Titans
      Ward’s playmaking ability and live arm could spark a Titans offense that’s been searching for consistency. If he puts up 25+ total TDs, he’s the favorite.
    2. Ashton Jeanty – Las Vegas Raiders
      Jeanty’s speed and pass-catching ability fit perfectly in Vegas. Expect big plays in both the run and pass game.
    3. Omarion Hampton – Los Angeles Chargers
      Hampton could be the bell cow Harbaugh needs, racking up big yardage behind an elite O-line.
    4. Colston Loveland – Chicago Bears
      Loveland could thrive as a red-zone weapon in Ben Johnson’s offense, piling up TDs.
    5. Matthew Golden – Green Bay Packers
      Golden’s rapport with Jordan Love could develop quickly, giving him a shot at 1,000 yards as a rookie.

    Coach of the Year

    1. Pete Carroll – Las Vegas Raiders
      Carroll thrives when people underestimate him. If the Raiders compete for the playoffs, his mix of veteran savvy and player development earns him COTY.
    2. Mike Vrabel – New England Patriots
      Vrabel’s ability to get the most out of underdog rosters could shine again if New England surprises and makes a playoff push.
    3. Sean McVay – Los Angeles Rams
      McVay reinvented the Rams on the fly last year. Another playoff run with a young roster would cement his reputation.
    4. Ben Johnson – Chicago Bears
      Johnson steps into the head coaching ranks with a nice Bears roster. If they push for the playoffs, voters will love the story.
    5. Dan Campbell – Detroit Lions
      Campbell is the heart of Detroit’s resurgence. If the Lions compete for the division after losing both coordinators, he’ll deserve the love.
  • Teams That Can Win the Super Bowl in 2025

    Teams That Can Win the Super Bowl in 2025

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Until proven otherwise, the road to the Lombardi still runs through Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes is the ultimate playoff equalizer, and Andy Reid continues to adapt his offense no matter who’s catching the passes. Even in a loaded AFC, the Chiefs’ experience, coaching, and clutch factor keep them at the very top of the contender list.

    Buffalo Bills

    The Bills may have taken some playoff gut punches in recent years, but Josh Allen’s ceiling is still as high as anyone’s in the league. They’ve reshaped the roster to be younger and faster on defense, and if their offense clicks in January, Buffalo has the firepower to finally break through.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Joe Burrow’s health is the whole story here. When he’s 100%, the Bengals have proven they can go toe-to-toe with anyone, including the Chiefs. Add in Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and a defense that can’t be worse, and Cincinnati is right back in the thick of things.

    Baltimore Ravens

    Lamar Jackson just came off an MVP level season and looks more comfortable in Todd Monken’s passing attack. The defense remains elite, the run game is dangerous, and the Ravens have the type of balanced roster that travels well in the playoffs — the kind that can win ugly or light up the scoreboard.

    Houston Texans

    C.J. Stroud is awesome — he already plays with the poise of a veteran, and the Texans surrounded him with real weapons like Nico Collins, and DeMeco Ryans has built a culture that’s ahead of schedule, and Houston’s mix of youth and confidence makes them a scary January opponent.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith form one of the league’s best offensive trios coupled with a dangerous O-Line and Saquon Barkley, and the defense reloaded with young, athletic playmakers. I love what their defense can be this season. No other team seems to blend getting younger, cheaper and better than Philly.

    Los Angeles Rams

    Sean McVay is the best coach in the NFC, they moved on from Cooper Kupp and replaced him with Devante Adams, and have one of the nastiest defensive fronts in the league. If Stafford can stay healthy then this team can build leads so that their pass rushers can just pin their ears back and get after opposing teams’ quarterbacks. I love the Rams this year.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Baker Mayfield silenced a lot of doubters these past few years, and with Mike Evans back, Tampa Bay’s offense has real chemistry. Todd Bowles’ defense still has bite, and with an offense that should be well rounded, watch out for the Bucs.

    Washington Commanders

    This is the boldest pick on the list, but the upside is real. Jayden Daniels is coming off of a rookie campaign that put him on the map as a superstar. Washington’s defense — loaded with talent in the front seven — can close out games. With Dan Quinn steering the ship, they look to build upon last year’s surprising run to the NFC Championship game.

  • NFC West 2025 Predictions

    NFC West 2025 Predictions

    1. Rams 12-5*
    2. Cardinals 10-7*
    3. Seahawks 9-8
    4. 49ers 9-8

    Division Overview:

    • What I see as the NFC’s deepest division should see a litany of playoff teams. I see the Rams in the upper echelon of the NFL, while after the Rams, I see three teams that could all make a run to the divisional round, but could also have a losing record. 

    Rams

    • Losses:Texans, @ Eagles, Buccaneers, @ Panthers, @ Cardinals
    • This is 100% dependent on Matthew Stafford’s back, but seeing how he’s seemingly toughed out some crazy injury every year of his career, I don’t see why he can’t do that again this year. I love the roster, the offense should be elite, and with the loaded up defensive line that they have on defense, once the Rams get a lead, it could be tough for opponents to come from behind.

    Cardinals

    • Losses: @ 49ers, Titans, @ Seahawks, Jaguars, @ Texans, @ Bengals, @ Rams
    • Listen, maybe I’m biased off of seeing Kyler Murray play back in high school. And I will die on the hill of “If Kyler was 6’2, he’d be the best QB in football”, so I will preface knowing this might be a blind spot for me. That being said, I love this offense, McBride, Murray and what should be an improved receiving core should be able to put up points. The defense can’t be worse than last season, and the Cardinals invested heavy on that side of the ball this year with both the draft and free agency. I see them battling down to the wire for the second place spot in this division.

    Seahawks

    • Losses: 49ers, @ Cardinals, @ Jaguars, Texans, @ Commanders, @ Rams, @ Falcons, Rams
    • Seattle has one of the widest ranges of outcomes in the NFL this season. I could 100% envision a 12 win team here, however I could also see a 7 win team – it’s all going to come down to how Sam Darnold and the reinvented receiving core work out. Watch out for Tory Horton and Damian Martinez as two under the radar rookies to make impacts this year. On the other side of the ball, I see one of the NFL’s best defenses this season.

    49ers

    • Losses: @ Rams, @ Buccaneers, @ Texans, Rams, @ Cardinals, Titans, Bears, Seahawks
    • Talk about wide variances in outcomes. I trust in Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch to have success, but so much about this offseason is giving “gap year” vibes. If McCaffrey is healthy I believe this offense has a high floor, but with such a banged up receiving core, and the bad vibes coming from Aiyuk this offseason just leaves too big of a question mark for me. The defense should be feisty, the return of defensive coordinator Robert Salah should add a spark, and Fred Warner and Nick Bosa should continue to be elite, but with rumors of starting FIVE rookies on defense this season, I feel as though their ceiling is capped. I expect a team that feasts on bad teams and loses to good teams this season.

    Twitter/X: mikeshardtakes_

    Instagram: likemike.99

    TikTok: mikeshardtakes

    YouTube: Mikes Hard Takes

  • NFC South 2025 Predictions

    NFC South 2025 Predictions

    1. Buccaneers 11-6*
    2. Panthers 9-8
    3. Falcons 9-8
    4. Saints 2-15

    Division Overview:

    • I think this is going to be a fun division this season. I see a division with sneaky-good QB’s. I’m a major believer in Michael Penix Jr, and the end of last season left a lot of hope for Bryce Young. The Saints are the lone “bad” team I see in this division, but while the talent might not be there, there could be some pride and feistiness that leads to some competitive games.

    Buccaneers

    • Losses: @ Seahawks, Patriots, @ Bills, Cardinals, Falcons, @ Panthers
    • As big of a Texas Longhorn fan as I am, I hate how much I like Baker Mayfield in the NFL. You would think the OU-Texas A&M connection of Mayfield to Mike Evans would have me seething, but I see big things coming out of Tampa this season. Bucky Irving out of the backfield along with Emeka Egbuka and Chris Godwin should lead to a top offense with their protection up front. The defense will be able to get after it too with HC Todd Bowles’ aggressive tendencies. Antoine Winfield Jr returning health this season should help the backend of the defense come together this season.

    Panthers

    • Losses: @ Cardinals, Falcons, @ Patriots, @ Jets, @ Packers, @ 49ers, Seahawks, @ Buccaneers
    • The Panthers will be competing for a playoff spot this season. Drafting Tetairoa McMillan to go along with Xavier Leggette and Chuba Hubbard will give Young some weapons to work with. I loved their draft on defense with two Edges and Lathan Ransom at safety could lead to three contributors on defense to lead to a more balanced team for Coach Dave Canales.

    Falcons

    • Losses: Buccaneers, Commanders, @ 49ers, @ Patriots, Panthers, @ Saints, @ Cardinals, Rams
    • The Falcons could contend for the best offense in the NFL. I love Michael Penix as the second best QB from his draft class after Jayden Daniels. Add in Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier, Darnell Mooney and Ray-Ray McCloud and a good offensive line and they should put up points with the best of them. The defense has a lot of potential, if their round one gamble of doubling up at edge pays off and Jalon Walker and James Pearce both pan out, look out because Jessie Bates III at safety is dangerous with AJ Terrell Jr and sneaky awesome draft pick Billy Bowman Jr gives this defense a lot of potential.

    Saints

    • Wins: Falcons, @ Dolphins
    • The Saints are experiencing the equivalent to what happens when you continually pay the minimum on your credit card while continuing to use it and the interest begins to pile up and become due. Talent here is lacking, and Kellen Moore, while talented, is a first time head coach. It feels like these next two years are going to be long for Saints fans.

    Twitter/X: mikeshardtakes_

    Instagram: likemike.99

    TikTok: mikeshardtakes

    YouTube: Mikes Hard Takes

  • NFC East 2025 Predictions

    NFC East 2025 Predictions

    1. Eagles 11-6*
    2. Commanders 10-7*
    3. Giants 8-9
    4. Cowboys 3-14

    Division Overview:

    • If this prediction comes to fruition, the NFC East will have a repeat winner for the first time in 21 years. The Eagles are absolutely loaded and in a class of their own when it comes to talent in this division, but more crazy stuff tends to happen in the NFC East than in most divisions.

    Eagles

    • Losses: @ Buccaneers, @ Giants, Lions, @ Bills, Commanders
    • Fly Eagles Fly. The offense should continue to flourish, the only question is if Saquon Barkley can repeat his unbelievable success from last season, but even if he can’t, the offense is stocked up with weapons so points shouldn’t be hard to come by. On defense the Eagles, in my opinion, drafted two defensive rookie of the year candidates AGAIN this season with Jihaad Campbell and Andrew Makuba, while they have a contender for best defensive player in football anchoring down low with Jalen Carter. I see some natural sleep walking happening during the regular season, but watch out come the playoffs.

    Commanders

    • Losses: Raiders, @ Chargers, Bears, Lions, Broncos, @ Vikings, Eagles
    • Jayden Daniels is a superstar, and is already the best QB in the division, and could contend for best QB in the conference this season, and when you have that on your team there is no ceiling. The offensive line should be improved with Laremy Tunsil, and first rounder Josh Conerly Jr joining the fold, so the offense should be dynamic, barring the resigning of Terry McLaurin. This, plus a defense that will run around with its hair on fire should pose a threat to any NFC team.

    Giants

    • Wins: @ Cowboys, Chargers, @ Saints, Eagles, @ Patriots, Vikings, @ Raiders, Cowboys
    • I like the Giants as a sneaky dangerous team this season. The defense should be NASTY with their front seven, and if whoever plays QB can get the ball in Malik Nabers’ hands as consistently as possible, the Giants could sneak up on people.

    Cowboys

    • Wins: @ Jets, @ Raiders, Chargers
    • Let me start off saying something nice; I really liked the Cowboys’ draft. Now, let’s talk about the problems: unproven stable of running backs filled with #2 backs, both tackle spots on the offensive line, injury prone QB, the defense as a whole minus Micah Parsons (if he ends up playing), the coach, the GM, and to put a bow on it, the owner. Jerry Jones has accomplished his mission of creating a media circus that people talk about 24/7, but I believe this is the year the bottom falls out from under this franchise. It has a Raiders post 2003 feel to this franchise and I see a dark future on the horizon.
  • NFC North 2025 Predictions

    NFC North 2025 Predictions

    1. Vikings 10-7*
    2. Lions 10-7*
    3. Bears 9-8
    4. Packers 8-9

    Division Overview:

    Not going to lie, I hated picking this division, with so many unknowns this order could easily be reversed. This division won the award for “Most Likely to Make Me Look Stupid”, so with little bass in my voice here we go…

    Vikings

    • Losses: Falcons, Bengals, Eagles, @ Chargers, Ravens, @ Seahawks, @ Giants
    • I love Kevin O’Connell and Brian Flores. This defense should cause havoc, and with a strong offensive line, Minnesota can ease McCarthy into the starting spot, and having Jordan Jefferson outside doesn’t hurt either.

    Lions

    • Losses: @ Ravens, @ Bengals, Buccaneers, Vikings, @ Rams, @ Vikings, @ Bears
    • Having such a brain drain on the coaching staff has to reel Detroit back from where they have been the past two seasons. Couple that with the loss of Frank Ragnow I see the offense taking a slight backslide. On the other side of the coin, there is no way the defense can be as injured as they were last season, and while they lost their coordinator I can see improvement just from player availability alone.

    Bears

    • Losses: Vikings, @ Lions, @ Ravens, @ Bengals, @ Vikings, @ Eagles, @ Packers, Packers
    • I really wanted to give the Bears 10-11 wins, but the Bears are one of the biggest mystery teams of the 2025 season. I love the Ben Johnson hire and believe it will pay dividends, plus the Bears offense is littered with weapons and an improved offensive line, but I just need to see it to believe it with Caleb Williams. The defense should be tough as well, as Ryan Poles has done a good job of putting this team together, but it’s time to see if the pieces click.

    Packers

    • Wins: @ Browns, @ Cowboys, @ Steelers, Panthers, @ Giants, Bears, Broncos, @ Bears
    • Green Bay could 100% win 12 games and I would not be surprised. My biggest concern, however, is their overreliance on “B” level players across the board. It’s a very interesting team building strategy, because there’s not very much elite on the roster, but the counter point some would make is that there isn’t very many holes either. I do love Matthew Golden, and if Jordan Love comes out hot – watch out.

    Twitter/X: mikeshardtakes_

    Instagram: likemike.99

    TikTok: mikeshardtakes

    YouTube: Mikes Hard Takes

  • AFC North 2025 Predictions

    AFC North 2025 Predictions

    1. Ravens 11-6*
    2. Bengals 11-6*
    3. Steelers 5-12
    4. Browns 1-16

    Division Overview:

    • The Ravens are the class of the division, but I believe the Bengals aren’t too far behind. I see a precipitous drop off, however, once we come to the Steelers, then another with the Browns. I see a two team race for the division that can go down to the wire.

    Ravens

    • Losses: @ Bills, @ Chiefs, Texans, Rams, @ Bengals, @ Steelers
    • Everybody’s favorite AFC team, and while I really like them, I have my questions. Will Derrick Henry be able to replicate his success of last season at age 31? Because if not the receiving core will have to take on more responsibility and that is a recipe for a lackluster offensive putout. The defense should be pretty good, but I’m predicting a slight step-back from Henry, which will lead to an offense that, while still very good, will be too reliant on the passing game to a “C” level receiving core.

    Bengals

    • Losses: @ Broncos, Jets, @ Steelers, @ Ravens, @ Bills, @ Dolphins
    • The defense can’t be worse, right? I think Joe Burrow is in for another great season, and if Ja’Marr Chase isn’t the top pick in your fantasy league you’re doing it wrong. The offense has weapons galore with Chase Brown, Tee Higgins, Chase, Andrei Iosivas, Samaje Perine, Tahj Brooks and a stable of tight ends. I think Shemar Stewart has a good rookie season, and things get worked out with Trey Hendrickson, coupled with a new voice at defensive coordinator and the defense should be better than bottom 3 – hopefully.

    Steelers

    • Wins: Browns, Bengals, Dolphins, @ Browns, Ravens
    • I’ve been betting against the Steelers, and Aaron Rodgers for years – now I get to do both?? I feel as though Mike Tomlin and the Steelers need a divorce, and it would benefit both incredibly. But football wise, I don’t believe in the formula of getting older across the board and the constant churn of mediocre quarterbacks doesn’t lead to success. I see the ceiling here being 10ish wins, but I lean towards Pittsburgh having its first losing season under Mike Tomlin.

    Browns

    • Win: @ Jets
    • I just don’t see it. Not a ton of juice at the skill positions on offense, nor do I see very much juice at quarterback. I see the secondary getting picked apart by good quarterbacks and as they say “Dysfunctional teams do dysfunctional things”. This team just seems to be Myles Garrett and a bunch of guys – making him this generation’s Joe Thomas up in Cleveland, completely squandering another all-time great.

    Twitter/X: mikeshardtakes_

    Instagram: likemike.99

    TikTok: mikeshardtakes

    YouTube: Mikes Hard Takes